5 p.m. Mechanical Weather Alert: ‘Tropical weather conditions possible late Saturday into Sunday.’ 40-mph gusts, 3 to 6 inches of rain possible.

5 p.m. Mechanical Weather Alert: ‘Tropical weather conditions possible late Saturday into Sunday.’ 40-mph gusts, 3 to 6 inches of rain possible.

warebanner

From the National Weather Service:  Tropical Storm Nate, currently just east of the Yucatan penninsula of Mexico, is expected to track north-northwest across
the Gulf of Mexico through Saturday, making landfall somewhere along the central Gulf Coast Saturday night.

The latest track from the National Hurricane Center has Nate turning northeast across Alabama, approaching Northwest Georgia by Sunday afternoon. Based on this current forecast track, the probability of seeing tropical storm-force wind gusts, greater than 40 mph, is increasing across portions of central and north
Georgia throughout Sunday.

Several hours of winds of this magnitude would be capable of bringing down trees and power lines. In addition to the wind, periods of heavy rain could produce 2 to 6 inches of rainfall which may result in localized flash flooding, especially across urban and poor drainage areas.

A few tornadoes are also possible within any of the more organized rain bands that are associated with Nate.

As forecast confidence increases overnight tonight into Saturday, Tropical Storm Watches may be issued for portions of central and north Georgia.

This is an evolving and challenging forecast. Please stay tuned to the latest forecasts and information from the National Hurricane Center, and the National Weather Service in Peachtree City.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

 

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF THE THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
* ISLE OF YOUTH

OUTLOOK

The scene from Panama City beach as of 11 a.m. Friday courtesy of Brian McClellan.

At 2 p.m. EDT, Nate was moving toward the north-northwest near 21 mph and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday, with a turn toward the north and northeast expected Saturday night and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Nate will move across the northwestern Caribbean Sea this afternoon and move near or over the northeastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula this evening. Nate will then move into the southern Gulf of Mexico tonight, approach the northern Gulf coast Saturday, and then move near or over the northern Gulf coast Saturday night or Sunday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nate is expected to become a hurricane by the time it reaches the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles mainly to the east of the center.

FORECAST

Today: Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the morning.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East wind around 5 mph.

Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 80. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 72. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 69.

Share Button

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.